Markets

PyxMarket hosts prediction markets on real-world events.

Market Structure

Each event contains one or more markets (outcomes to trade). For example:

  • Event: "2024 US Presidential Election"

    • Market 1: "Will Trump win?" (YES/NO)

    • Market 2: "Will Biden win?" (YES/NO)

Prices

Prices range from $0.000 to $1.000 with 3 decimal places of precision. A price reflects the market's implied probability.

Price
Implied Probability
Meaning

$0.100

10%

Market thinks event is unlikely

$0.500

50%

Coin flip — market is uncertain

$0.700

70%

Market thinks event is likely

$0.950

95%

Market is very confident

  • YES + NO prices sum to approximately $1.000

  • If YES is trading at $0.700, NO is trading at ~$0.300

  • Buy YES at $0.700, if the event happens you receive $1.000 (profit: $0.300)

Auto Redemption

If you hold both YES and NO shares in the same market, they are automatically redeemed for $1.000 per pair. This happens instantly — no transaction needed. For example, if you hold 10 YES and 3 NO, 3 pairs are redeemed for $3.000 USDC and you keep 7 YES shares.

Resolution

Markets resolve when the real-world event outcome is determined. Winning shares pay $1.000, losing shares pay $0.000. Payouts are distributed automatically to your wallet — no claiming transaction needed.

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